”While they’re sweeping up all those chicken heads, we have Flexcit for you: it’s all worked out here. Just follow the instructions and you won’t go far wrong. Written by hundreds, read by thousands (currently over 80,000), this is the definitive exit plan, as noted by The Register.
Over the next hours, weeks and months we are going to be assailed by ill-informed comment in super-tanker quantities, much of it from the BBC whose David Dimbleby referred to Article 50 as “Chapter 50” – reflecting the degree of knowledge and insight in the institution.
In this and other media organisations – and in government itself – there is terrifyingly little knowledge of the workings of the EU, and next to none about how we should extract ourselves from it. Listening to some of the offerings is painful.
However, with the promised resignation of Mr Cameron as Prime Minister, the excellent news is that he has had the sense to defer the Article 50 notification to his successor. It will not – as Cameron suggested it might (another example of FUD) – be invoked immediately.
That gives us some time for reflection and planning, and also some mature consideration as to timing.
Key events are the French presidential elections in May next year and the German federal elections, which will be held between 27 August and 22 October 2017. Until those are over, and the new (or existing) German Chancellor is bedded in, there is not much point in invoking Article 50. There will be no-one on the other side of the table, capable of making a decision.
The new prime minister must also decide on whether he (or she) wants the two-year article 50 negotiating period to run into our own general election period. There might be some sense (but also some hazard) in setting the period so that the tail end straddles the election. That way a putative settlement can be part of the election mandate sought.”
GW: Perhaps it’s time for Dimblebob to hang up his headset.