Identifying a Black Swan Event
1. The event is a surprise (to the observer).
2. The event has a major impact.
3. After the fact, the event is rationalized by hindsight, as if it could have been expected (e.g., the relevant data were available but not accounted for).
US Forum member wonders ‘Was the 2007-2009 first phase of the financial crash a black swan event?‘ Another comments ‘I was really struck during my Year In Real Estate with how many loan officers knew this was coming.’http://rigorousintuition.ca/board2/viewtopic.php?f=8&t=30580&start=15
Diana and the 4 Black Swans. http://vigilantcitizen.com/vigilantreport/princess-dianas-death-and-memorial-the-occult-meaning/ ‘Four Black Swans “guard” Di’s last resting place.’ http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XCnaXb4S3ag Yea Right.
The Black Swan has spiritual significance to many Australian Aboriginal peoples. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Swan_emblems_and_popular_culture
‘Ralph‘ wrote a long piece in 2008 about the Black Swan’s deeper meaning. http://www.heartoftheinitiate.com/library/articles/black-swan
Was Savile a Black Swan? So many questions.